OK I’m bored at work right now. So might as well post. Yep, it’s that time again.
Again-realistic guesses please! (if you want to comment your guess, go ahead too!) To help, here are the stats…
Only two marathons to date that I’ve actually finished-NYC 2006 in 3:58:26 (splits of 1:58:02/2:00:24.) and NYC 2008 in 3:44:14 (1:50:43/1:53:31) Both had picture-perfect weather.
This time, topped out at a 52 mile week (this past week-only one over 50), with 10 weeks where my mileage was at least 40, three 20-milers and one 21 miler (this past weekend.) For the bulk of training-ran 5 days a week-which included 1 tempo or MP run, 1 VO2max/interval session and a long run.
Races-this time around my best 5M time was 37:36 (my time for the same race in 2008 was 38:11 and 2009 was 36:49) and ran a 20K race in 1:38:51. (In 2008, I ran a half-marathon in 1:42:20 and in 2009 in 1:37:36.) And I guess there’s always the Brooklyn Half which I ran before I started training…that being 1:42:27.
In terms of predictors for now…my 20K time predicts 3:40 flat. My Club Champs 5M time predicts 3:41:11. I wasn’t tapered for either of those races though. The Brooklyn Half, which I was tapered for (and ran on much lower mileage), predicts 3:36:04.
I know how flat Chicago is…not sure how much of a difference, minutes-wise, that will make (between that and a hilly course like NYC.)
Again, one of the choices I feel is very unrealistic, but I felt I had to put it in anyway.
Right now, the goal is…well you know what the A goal is. 🙂 Fallback goal will be a PR…so maybe I could qualify for 2012?
Vote early. But do not vote often-I once again fixed it so certain people won’t try and stuff the ballot box…you know who you are 😉
Thanks for playing!